The going is officially good to firm at Ascot for Saturday’s card which gets under way at 1.55.
Reach High to strike for Godolphin in Ascot opener
The first race at Ascot is a two-year-old novice stakes over five furlongs with seven runners. Visionary carries a 6lbs penalty for winning at Brighton on his debut where he had Raffle King less than a length away in third. Visionary won with a bit to spare that day so it should be close between the pair.
The one most likely to beat them both is the Godolphin colt Reach High, by Distorted Humor out of a Giant’s Causeway mare. He ran a good race on his debut when just denied by Hoyamy at Doncaster and is entered in the Group 1 Phoenix Stakes at the Curragh.
The 2.30 is a handicap for four-year-olds over a mile and a half with twelve runners set to go to post. Nicky Henderson struck in the Chester Cup earlier this week and is targeting another flat race prize here with Sign Of A Victory. He last ran in the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham and could turn out to be well handicapped. There isn’t much value in the early 11-4 and it may be worth taking a chance on King Bolette. He has joined Roger Varian from Luca Cumani’s yard and looked like making up into a useful handicapper last season.
Accession looks generously priced at 22-1 with Betway
Accession over-priced in Victoria Cup at Ascot
The feature race is the Totescoop6 Victoria Cup at 4.15 over seven furlongs. This looks wide open but Outback Traveller caught the eye when unlucky at Haydock last time out. He is tipped to turn the tables on Predominance who would prefer more cut in the ground.
Accession looks over-priced at 22-1 after an impressive win at the Newmarket Craven meeting. Bookmakers seem to have taken the view that he is a soft ground performer but he ran well on a faster surface at Newmarket last summer. Kieran Shoemark takes off 5lbs and he is worth supporting at his current price.
Our final tip of the day at Ascot is for The Big Lad who carries top weight in the finale at 4.45. The unbeaten son of Kheleyf is yet to race on turf but won with a bit up his sleeve at Kempton in March and is only 6lbs higher in the weights. All-weather form does not always transfer to the turf but there is only 10lbs between top and bottom weight here and The Big Lad has plenty of scope for improvement.
Ascot Betting Tips 07/05/2016
1.55 Reach High @Evens Betfair
2.30 King Bolette (each-way) @8-1 William Hill
4.15 Accession (each-way) @22-1 Betway
4.15 Outback Traveller (each-way) @11-1 Bet365
4.45 The Big Lad @9-2 Betfair